Here are some recent articles and media appearances.


Seth D. Baum, Robert de Neufville, Anthony M. Barrett, and Gary Ackerman. “Lessons for Artificial Intelligence from Other Global Risks.” In Maurizio Tinnerello (ed.), The Global Politics of Artificial Intelligence (forthcoming).

Robert de Neufville and Seth D. Baum. “Collective Action on Artificial Intelligence: A Primer and Review.” Technology in Society 66 (August 2021).

Seth D. Baum, Robert de Neufville, and Anthony M. Barrett. “A Model for the Probability of Nuclear War.” Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Working Paper 18-1 (2018).

Popular Media

“The Unthinkable is Possible.” California Magazine (Summer 2020).

“North Korea and America’s Second Summit.” The National Interest (February 2019).


“On Superforecasting.” FLI Podcast (April 2020).

“What are the Odds of Nuclear War?” FLI Podcast (April 2018).